8 Not So Hateful Transactions For Week 9

October 29, 2019

 

You don’t win your league at the draft, you merely set the foundation and it’s making moves on the Waiver Wire and the Trading Block that put you over the top. In case you’re not familiar with the vernacular:

  • A “buy” is someone you should look to acquire via trade since they’re more than likely owned

  • An “add” is someone you should acquire and can more than likely be found on the waiver wire

  • A “sell” is someone you should look to get rid off via trade and try to upgrade from

  • A “drop” is someone that you should feel comfortable removing from your roster and moving on

  • A “hold” is someone you can’t sell, but shouldn’t drop either

Here are this week’s “not hateful” transactions that could help get you one step closer to that fantasy championship.

 

 

Buy Le’Veon Bell

 

Things have been tough for Lev recently, but I still believe! He’s had one of the tougher schedules for RBs facing Philly (28th easiest against the run), Jacksonville (21st), and New England twice (32nd), as well as his bye week. In spite of that and the Jets’ offensive woes, Bell is currently the 23rd RB in Half-PPR scoring averaging 11.7 points per game. Don’t get me wrong, that’s a bust for where you drafted him, but comparatively, he’s got the 13th most rushing attempts and 6th most targets among RBs. Plus, the rest of the fantasy season is juicy for the Jets who face Washington (9th easiest), the Giants (11th), Miami twice (2nd), and Cincy (1st) in the coming weeks. Bottom line: the volume is there, the talent is there, and the rest is coming together for Lev to be a second-half hero for your fantasy team.

 

 

Drop Kyler Murray

 

This pains me to say, but Kyler Murray is a droppable asset right now for your fantasy team. He’s struggled mightily the last two weeks going 8 quarters without a TD in two of the somewhat easier matchups for QBs and his next four weeks include two games against San Francisco who are the second-best defense behind the Patriots and his bye week in Week 12. That being said, he is talented and has a good matchup in Week 10 against Tampa Bay, but unless you’re a lock for the playoffs then you should move on and look at the top streamers week-to-week.

 

 

Hold Robby Anderson

 

See Le’Veon Bell above and add a matchup against the 5th easiest Oakland defense for WRs. Plus, I’m still not convinced that Darnold is fully recovered from his bout with mono and all it takes is for him to connect with Robby on one boom play. On top of all that, Anderson is seeing the 5th highest percentage of Team’s Air Yards with 40.84% behind Allen Robinson and in front of Curtis Samuel, according to NextGenStats. Things are looking bright for Robby.

 

 

Buy Gerald Everett

 

I know this sounds gross, but the entire TE landscape is pretty gross so you have to take what you can get and what you get with Everett isn’t the worst out there. The reality is that Everett is the 8th most targeted TE with 49 targets just behind George Kittle (55) and he should be fairly easy to acquire on his bye week. The main thing that Everett has going for him is his remaining schedule, particularly his playoff schedule. The Rams return from their bye and play the Steelers (8th easiest for TEs) then they also have Arizona (1st), Seattle (4th), and Dallas (6th) in Weeks 13-15. You could definitely do worse than the current TE9 with a high upside schedule during your playoff run.

 

 

Add Darren Fells

 

As I just mentioned, the TE position is a dumpster fire so you have to take value where you can find it and for whatever reason, Deshaun Watson is targeting his TE in the red zone and that makes him a valuable addition. On the season, Fells is TIED (yes, tied) with Deandre Freaking Hopkins in red-zone targets for the Texans with 8 and Fells actually has 2 more TDs on those targets than Hopkins. Now, two multi-TD games will do that for your stat line, but there’s no denying that Fells is worth an add even with the mediocre schedule moving forward.

 

 

Add Raheem Mostert

 

Tevin Coleman torched Carolina this past week for 100+ yards and 4 total TDs and appears to be emerging as the leader of the San Francisco backfield. The reality is that while he will be a very solid RB2 moving forward, he won’t get 4 TDs every week and the SF backfield can feed multiple backs moving forward. After Breida got injured this past week, Mostert came in and managed to rack up 60 yards and a score on only 9 attempts. So with Breida injured and not needing to play this week against a weak Arizona defense, Mostert is worth an add and a flex start in an offense that just cannot be stopped right now.

 

 

Buy Latavius Murray

 

This one seems like a pretty obvious sell and it pretty much is. Alvin Kamara should be set to come back after the Saints bye week which will send Murray back to the shadow realm so you better sell high on him coming off that top-end performance, right? Think of it this way, if everyone thinks he’s about to become somewhat useless, what better time to buy a guy who’s finished as the RB1 over the last two weeks? It’s difficult to bank on an injury to Kamara, but if you can buy low on Murray for scraps, then you’ll wind up with a guy with Top 5 upside if the cards fall that way.

 

 

Sell New England Patriots DST

 

In case you missed my tweet from last week, the Patriots remaining schedule is about to get a LOT tougher than it was for the first half of their season and this will be the last opportunity you have to sell them at peak value (RB2/WR2). The Patriots Defense has been out of this world totaling 80 more fantasy points than the next best defense and putting them third in points overall behind only Deshaun Watson and Russell Wilson. So why sell? Simple. In their first eight games, the Patriots had an easy matchup in SEVEN of those games meaning that seven of their first eight games were against offenses that rank as Top 8 easiest matchups to opposing defenses. The only one that was not a plus matchup was their Week 1 bout with Pittsburgh where Big Ben was injured and the offense imploded. Their remaining schedule includes a game against Baltimore (28th easiest) this week, their bye in Week 10, then Dallas (31st) in Week 12, and Kansas City (32nd) in Week 14. Now is your last opportunity to sell a defense that will regress back to the mean for peak value and you need to take advantage of it.

 

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