Risers and Fallers: ADP Edition

December 31, 2017

 

QB

 

Riser

 

 

Deshaun Watson

It is clear why Mr Watson was not drafted for many leagues in the summer. As Tom Savage entered the year as the unquestioned starter and was even vouched for by DeAndre Hopkins. But this didn't stop the 12th overall draft selection as he stole the job from Savage and never looked back. He averaged 24.1 points per game and leads the league in fantasy points per game as a quarterback. Although he tore his ACL he will see a huge uptick in fantasy drafts due to his immense upside and solid floor as a runner.

2017 ADP: Undrafted

2018 Projection: QB 6

 

Faller

 

 

Matt Ryan

After coming off of his best season by far Matt Ryan is disappointing fantasy owners yet again. After finishing 2nd overall for quarterbacks last year, Ryan is currently sitting at QB 15 with an average of 15 fantasy points per game. This could have been predicted by his touchdown rates from years past. During his amazing 2016 fantasy year he averaged a touchdown every 7.1% of his plays, and this year it had dropped back down to normal levels at 3.9% on average he is usually QB 10-16, and he had an outlier year in 2016.

2017 ADP: QB 3

2018 Projection QB 12

 

RB

 

Riser

 

 

Duke Johnson

Finally Duke should get the respect he deserves from drafters. Duke right now in PPR scoring is the 14th best Running back in fantasy. Game script has caused some of this production as the Browns just aren't that good. But it also seems like Johnson is Kizer's safety net and has turned out be the best back on this team. With Crowell expected to leave in free agency it should lead to an uptick in Johnson's stock.

2017 ADP: RB 37

2018 Projection: RB 25

 

Faller

 

 

Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon is a hype beast of this last draft season, and he has all the tools to become a very solid RB in the future. He is being hindered by the play of his o-line. Football outsiders ranks them as the 27th team in the league in adjusted line yards at 3.67. Joe Mixon is stuffed behind the line a lot and has very few running lanes to go through. Also over the last 5 weeks of the season Mixon averaged 4.84 yards per carry and 13 yards per catch. Although his draft price will definitely go way down next year, he still has the talent to skyrocket next year.

2017 ADP: RB 18

2018 Projection: RB 26

 

WR

 

Riser

 

 

Robert Woods

Robert woods will be a huge riser in draft price this year compared to last year. He is Jared Goff's possession receiver and is the safety net for the 2nd year quarterback. Being the 14th ranked WR in fantasy before getting hurt, it way outproduces his draft price as he was undrafted in many leagues. This connection should only get better as this was his first year in the offense with Goff, along with having Sammy Watkins taking the other team's best CB.

2017 ADP: WR 77

2018 Projection: WR 22

 

Faller

 

 

Terrelle Pryor

What the heck happened? Terrelle Pryor turned into TP and was wiping Josh Doctson's butt this year. His magical 2016 season happened with the Browns when he was the best athlete and the only NFL grade WR that was healthy on the field. Kirk Cousins never seemed to target Pryor and favored other options like Doctson,Thompson, Crowder, and Reed. He no longer had the target share to be a startable or rosterable WR in fantasy. There is still immense upside for Pryor and he is still only a 1 year contract. Look for him to go to a better situation in the off-season.

2017 ADP:  WR 13

2018 Projection: WR 45

 

TE

 

Riser

 

 

Evan Engram

Wow, This rookie TE has been on fire this season. Being drafted the second rookie TE and the 17th TE off the board was a mistake for most drafters. Evan Engram is a beast catching the football and has earned being a must start TE after the week 6 game in Denver. He has done this all without OBJ and Sterling Shepard for most of the year. He can only go up as the Giants offense has been dreadful without their key WR1 and WR2.

2017 ADP: TE 16

2018 Projection TE 6

 

Faller

 

 

Martellus Bennett

Why? Why can a team use this 6’6 275 pound monster of a man. He is an athletic TE with all the tools to be a big red zone threat for any team, but he can't seem to make it happen anytime except when with the team with the best TE in the league. But since he is locked into a contract with the Patriots through 2019 Bennett will only be a backup TE to the Gronk owner going forward.

2017 ADP: TE 8

2018 Projection: TE 22

 

If you have any questions you can contact me on Twitter or Sleeperbot.

Twitter - @ConorButts5

Sleeperbot - CButt44

 

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